Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.276474 0.317131 0.360734 0.410860 0.466777 0.527116 0.597031
2026-01-18 0.214513 0.270275 0.334783 0.414438 0.509630 0.619194 0.754257
2026-01-25 0.167949 0.231486 0.310430 0.414535 0.546876 0.708068 0.917642
2026-02-01 0.133286 0.200302 0.289408 0.414303 0.582233 0.797332 1.090309
2026-02-08 0.106745 0.174405 0.270374 0.412762 0.614289 0.884354 1.267634
2026-02-15 0.085662 0.151864 0.251790 0.408225 0.640397 0.964601 1.442014
2026-02-22 0.072265 0.138183 0.243500 0.416509 0.684260 1.071757 1.660737
2026-03-01 0.059191 0.122234 0.228873 0.412569 0.708646 1.152059 1.846537
2026-03-08 0.049545 0.110147 0.218345 0.413137 0.739002 1.242376 2.052204
2026-03-15 0.040768 0.097710 0.205042 0.406900 0.757061 1.314344 2.234152
2026-03-22 0.036444 0.093129 0.204973 0.423071 0.812812 1.448257 2.518865
2026-03-29 0.032672 0.088869 0.204739 0.438597 0.868330 1.584922 2.815411
2026-04-05 0.028046 0.081795 0.198129 0.441878 0.903440 1.691786 3.072984
2026-04-12 0.023900 0.074846 0.190645 0.442466 0.933581 1.792205 3.326033
2026-04-19 0.020223 0.068112 0.182473 0.440540 0.958642 1.885272 3.571981
2026-04-26 0.017162 0.062171 0.175022 0.439018 0.984017 1.980121 3.825850
2026-05-03 0.014534 0.056687 0.167646 0.436595 1.007123 2.071969 4.079081
2026-05-10 0.012184 0.051297 0.159505 0.431332 1.023809 2.152761 4.316722
2026-05-17 0.010795 0.048556 0.157542 0.439688 1.068698 2.287966 4.657512
2026-05-24 0.009102 0.044202 0.150543 0.435359 1.086574 2.373136 4.911879
2026-05-31 0.007831 0.040915 0.145825 0.435825 1.114483 2.478763 5.208400
2026-06-07 0.006537 0.037032 0.138645 0.429217 1.126230 2.553347 5.450523
2026-06-14 0.006048 0.036287 0.140620 0.446083 1.191397 2.736695 5.905024